Optimal prevention strategy of the type sir covid-19 spread model in Indonesia

Jonner Nainggolan

doi:10.28919/cmbn/5571

Optimal prevention strategy of the type sir covid-19 spread model in Indonesia

Jonner Nainggolan, Fatmawati

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This paper studied the optimal control for the spread of the type SIR COVID-19 in Indonesia. Optimal control provided by prevention of COVID-19 with Large-Scale Social Restrictions in the Framework of Accelerated Handling COVID-19 (u^∗₁) and COVID-19 treatment efforts (u^∗₂). Data obtained from COVID-19.go.id from July 1-September 30, 2020. The increase in COVID-19 cases can be seen from the basic reproduction number (R0) greater than one, which means that the number of active cases of COVID-19 in Indonesia continues to increase. The Indonesian government has made efforts to overcome the spread of COVID-19 but the number of active cases of ∗ ∗ COVID-19 is still increasing. Optimal control u₁ and u₂ can significantly reduce the number of active COVID-19 ∗ individuals compared without control. Optimal control u₂ significantly can increase the number of individuals who recovered COVID-19 compared without control.

Original language	English
Article number	46
Journal	Communications in Mathematical Biology and Neuroscience
Volume	2021
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.28919/cmbn/5571
Publication status	Published - 2021

Keywords

COVID-19
Optimal control
Prevention
SIR type model
Treatment

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10.28919/cmbn/5571

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title = "Optimal prevention strategy of the type sir covid-19 spread model in Indonesia",

abstract = "This paper studied the optimal control for the spread of the type SIR COVID-19 in Indonesia. Optimal control provided by prevention of COVID-19 with Large-Scale Social Restrictions in the Framework of Accelerated Handling COVID-19 (u∗1) and COVID-19 treatment efforts (u∗2). Data obtained from COVID-19.go.id from July 1-September 30, 2020. The increase in COVID-19 cases can be seen from the basic reproduction number (R0) greater than one, which means that the number of active cases of COVID-19 in Indonesia continues to increase. The Indonesian government has made efforts to overcome the spread of COVID-19 but the number of active cases of ∗ ∗ COVID-19 is still increasing. Optimal control u1 and u2 can significantly reduce the number of active COVID-19 ∗ individuals compared without control. Optimal control u2 significantly can increase the number of individuals who recovered COVID-19 compared without control.",

keywords = "COVID-19, Optimal control, Prevention, SIR type model, Treatment",

author = "Jonner Nainggolan and Fatmawati",

note = "Funding Information: The authors would like to thank Kemenristek Dikti providing Higher Education Grants for Fiscal Year 2020, through LPPM Universitas Cenderawasih who sponsored the research. Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2021 the author(s).",

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doi = "10.28919/cmbn/5571",

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AU - Nainggolan, Jonner

AU - Fatmawati,

N1 - Funding Information: The authors would like to thank Kemenristek Dikti providing Higher Education Grants for Fiscal Year 2020, through LPPM Universitas Cenderawasih who sponsored the research. Publisher Copyright: © 2021 the author(s).

PY - 2021

Y1 - 2021

N2 - This paper studied the optimal control for the spread of the type SIR COVID-19 in Indonesia. Optimal control provided by prevention of COVID-19 with Large-Scale Social Restrictions in the Framework of Accelerated Handling COVID-19 (u∗1) and COVID-19 treatment efforts (u∗2). Data obtained from COVID-19.go.id from July 1-September 30, 2020. The increase in COVID-19 cases can be seen from the basic reproduction number (R0) greater than one, which means that the number of active cases of COVID-19 in Indonesia continues to increase. The Indonesian government has made efforts to overcome the spread of COVID-19 but the number of active cases of ∗ ∗ COVID-19 is still increasing. Optimal control u1 and u2 can significantly reduce the number of active COVID-19 ∗ individuals compared without control. Optimal control u2 significantly can increase the number of individuals who recovered COVID-19 compared without control.

AB - This paper studied the optimal control for the spread of the type SIR COVID-19 in Indonesia. Optimal control provided by prevention of COVID-19 with Large-Scale Social Restrictions in the Framework of Accelerated Handling COVID-19 (u∗1) and COVID-19 treatment efforts (u∗2). Data obtained from COVID-19.go.id from July 1-September 30, 2020. The increase in COVID-19 cases can be seen from the basic reproduction number (R0) greater than one, which means that the number of active cases of COVID-19 in Indonesia continues to increase. The Indonesian government has made efforts to overcome the spread of COVID-19 but the number of active cases of ∗ ∗ COVID-19 is still increasing. Optimal control u1 and u2 can significantly reduce the number of active COVID-19 ∗ individuals compared without control. Optimal control u2 significantly can increase the number of individuals who recovered COVID-19 compared without control.

KW - COVID-19

KW - Optimal control

KW - Prevention

KW - SIR type model

KW - Treatment

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VL - 2021

JO - Communications in Mathematical Biology and Neuroscience

JF - Communications in Mathematical Biology and Neuroscience

M1 - 46

ER -

Optimal prevention strategy of the type sir covid-19 spread model in Indonesia

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Keywords

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