Accuracy rate of ANN back propagation architecture with modified algorithm: A meta-analysis

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Abstract

This study aims to analyze the accuracy of artificial neural network back-propagation (ANN-BP) architectures in forecasting time series data using modified and unmodified algorithms. The ANN-BP method is suitable for data with a prediction matrix size of m × n to facilitate the input of each layer. The data was sifted from articles indexed by databases such as Scopus, Sciencedirect, DOAJ, and Google Scholar for the 2010-2021 publication year. The Meta-Analysis method was used to determine the accuracy rate for each case. Based on the results of data analysis using JASP software that met the inclusion and exclusion criteria, the information obtained showed that the average accuracy of ANN-BP was 85% based on random effects (RE) models including test results based on moderator variables; for the modified algorithm, the accuracy is in the interval of 0.77-0.93, and if the algorithm is modified, the accuracy is in the interval of 0.81-0.90. These intervals suggest that modifications to the ANN-BP algorithm can improve accuracy rates. These results were obtained from a meta-analysis of 26 articles data that met the criteria for inclusion and exclusion that have been established.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication3rd International Seminar on Science and Technology, ISSTEC 2021
Subtitle of host publicationScience, Technology and Data Analysis for Sustainable Future
EditorsImam Sahroni, Muhammad Miqdam Musawwa, Achmad Fauzan, Sista Werdyani, Zainiharyati Mohd Zain, Is Fatimah, Riyanto
PublisherAmerican Institute of Physics Inc.
ISBN (Electronic)9780735445338
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 25 May 2023
Event3rd International Seminar on Science and Technology: Science, Technology and Data Analysis for Sustainable Future, ISSTEC 2021 - Yogyakarta, Indonesia
Duration: 30 Nov 2021 → …

Publication series

NameAIP Conference Proceedings
Volume2720
ISSN (Print)0094-243X
ISSN (Electronic)1551-7616

Conference

Conference3rd International Seminar on Science and Technology: Science, Technology and Data Analysis for Sustainable Future, ISSTEC 2021
Country/TerritoryIndonesia
CityYogyakarta
Period30/11/21 → …

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